Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.189634 0.211380 0.233892 0.258883 0.285796 0.313851 0.345253
2025-01-05 0.160290 0.189966 0.222030 0.259068 0.300485 0.345192 0.396913
2025-01-12 0.138601 0.173393 0.212410 0.259019 0.312788 0.372482 0.443364
2025-01-19 0.120695 0.158784 0.202979 0.257390 0.321895 0.395260 0.484315
2025-01-26 0.108083 0.148885 0.197709 0.259441 0.334378 0.421381 0.528963
2025-02-02 0.100296 0.143937 0.197594 0.267015 0.352998 0.454564 0.582090
2025-02-09 0.090849 0.135904 0.192823 0.268151 0.363290 0.477544 0.623094
2025-02-16 0.083860 0.130370 0.190612 0.271984 0.376556 0.503976 0.668360
2025-02-23 0.079790 0.128333 0.192593 0.280934 0.396154 0.538279 0.723575
2025-03-02 0.072045 0.120528 0.186334 0.278620 0.400988 0.553987 0.755778
2025-03-09 0.066035 0.114669 0.182242 0.278765 0.408690 0.573136 0.792280
2025-03-16 0.060125 0.108453 0.177207 0.277231 0.413876 0.588899 0.824483
2025-03-23 0.056514 0.105604 0.176977 0.282548 0.428702 0.617895 0.874811
2025-03-30 0.051964 0.100921 0.173795 0.283512 0.437549 0.639169 0.915484
2025-04-06 0.047685 0.096296 0.170379 0.283881 0.445428 0.659156 0.954660
2025-04-13 0.043339 0.091171 0.165866 0.282367 0.450491 0.675323 0.988918
2025-04-20 0.040312 0.087996 0.164103 0.284690 0.460824 0.698571 1.032695
2025-04-27 0.038856 0.087416 0.166300 0.292871 0.479523 0.733319 1.092115
2025-05-04 0.036024 0.084135 0.164003 0.294127 0.488244 0.754514 1.133607
2025-05-11 0.034004 0.082154 0.163654 0.298252 0.501084 0.781444 1.183047
2025-05-18 0.033183 0.082345 0.166834 0.307843 0.522000 0.819754 1.248267
2025-05-25 0.030196 0.078113 0.162413 0.305373 0.525063 0.833205 1.279767
2025-06-01 0.027914 0.075046 0.159765 0.305531 0.531910 0.851930 1.318580